Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 27

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Augusto V. C. M. (Bra)


	Ponte Preta		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.14	2.9	3.7
	2.36	2.82	3.91
	2.1	2.75	3.5
	2.25	2.94	3.66	Watch
	2.23	2.65	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	3.74 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
42%

Draw
33.1%

Sampaio Corrêa
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30.7%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caique Franca (G) 14. Luiz Felipe 27. Fabio Sanches (C) 3. de Morae E. R. G. 15. Artur 5. Leo Naldi 6. Filipinho 20. Lucas Nathan 9. Pereira Silva E. C. 22. Everton 77. Igor Torres	12. Thiago Braga (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 4. Gustavo Henrique 13. Rafael Jansen 6. Para (C) 8. Claudio Cebolinha 21. Neto Paraiba 7. Robinho 16. Alyson Neves 18. Thiaguinho 23. Ytalo
Substitutes
10. Elvis 8. Felipe Amaral 18. Guilherme 19. Jeh 7. Mailton 16. Paulo Baya 11. Paul Villero 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 40. Ramon 21. Tales 13. Thomas 23. Weverton	32. Carlos Eduardo (G) 15. Eloir 14. Fabio Aguiar 9. Getterson 3. Icaro 10. Marcinho 20. Mauricio Maranhao 11. Pimentinha 17. Samuel Santos 22. Vinicius Alves 19. Vitinho
Coaches
Pintado	Fernandes M.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	Ponte Preta - CA Juventus	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
02.09.23	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.08.23	EC Primavera - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.23	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Ceará - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
02.09.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Mirassol - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	0:0
03.10.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	2:1
23.06.22	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
03.09.21	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	3:2
11.06.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	1:0
01.12.20	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
29.08.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	1:2

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