Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.3
	2.15	3.05	3.4
	2.4	2.95	3.6
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.29	3.04	3.42	Watch
	2.17	2.95	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.24)	2.97 ↑ (2.75)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
41.6%

Draw
31.2%

CRB Maceio
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

32.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 4 - 50%). CRB will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 17. Samuel Santos 14. Gustavo Henrique 13. Rafael Jansen 6. Vitinho 5. Mikael 20. Mauricio Maranhao 10. Marcinho 11. Pimentinha (C) 23. Ytalo 18. Henrique	12. Diogo Silva (G) 32. Hereda 3. Gum (C) 40. Ramon Menezes 6. Guilherme Romao 98. Lucas Falcao 22. Anderson Leite 11. Renato 18. Joao Paulo 38. Leo Silva 9. Anselmo Ramon
Substitutes
21. Claudio Cebolinha 15. Eloir 9. Emerson Carioca 3. Gabriel Furtado 4. Leonan 8. Luiz Otavio 2. Mateus Pivo 16. Matheus Martins 19. Rodrigo Souza 12. Thiago Braga (G) 22. Thiaguinho 7. Vinicius Alves	14. Anderson Conceicao 5. Auremir 29. Bruno Costa 26. Edimar 19. Hyuri 8. Juninho Valoura 44. Matheus Mega 2. Matheus Ribeiro 10. Rafael Longuine 77. Romulo Souza 1. Vitor Caetano (G)
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Paulista D.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 0.

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches CRB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in CRB: Saimon (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
04.08.23	Mirassol - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
01.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
23.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTLL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
05.08.23	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
01.08.23	CRB Maceio - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
28.07.23	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Tombense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.05.23	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
20.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	1:2
09.05.22	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.22	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
04.11.21	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
25.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	2:3
05.12.20	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	3:0

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