Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)


	Juventude		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.6
	1.6	3.4	6
	1.83	3.21	5.57
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.83	3.2	5.05	Watch
	1.76	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	5.07 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
52.9%

Draw
28.8%

Sampaio Corrêa
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

28%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

27.5%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventude will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Couto (G) 93. Reginaldo 23. Luiz Gustavo 4. Danilo Boza 28. Alan Ruschel 5. Jean 36. Vini Paulista 16. Jadson 10. Nene 34. Tite 9. Erick	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 14. Gustavo Henrique 13. Rafael Jansen 6. Alyson Neves 5. Mikael 21. Neto Paraiba 10. Robinho 7. Thiaguinho 23. Ytalo 11. Henrique
Substitutes
22. Daniel Bolt 7. Emerson Santos 17. Goncalves Figueiredo V. 95. Kady 21. Kelvyn 12. Leo Vieira (G) 44. Mandaca 8. Matheus Vargas 53. Romercio 29. Ruan 32. Victor Andrade	22. Claudio Cebolinha 9. Emerson Carioca 3. Gabriel Furtado 18. Getterson 4. Leonan 8. Luiz Otavio 19. Matheus Martins 20. Mauricio Maranhao 17. Samuel Santos 12. Thiago Braga (G) 16. Vitinho
Coaches
Carpini T.	Fernandes M.

Preview

Juventude is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventude could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventude is a favorite.

There will not play in Juventude: David (Injury) Echapora (Injury)

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Jhony Douglas (Injury) Para (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampaio Corrêa: Fabio Aguiar (Injury) Ferreira (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Juventude to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
13.08.23	Guarani - Juventude	0:1 ✺
07.08.23	Juventude - Vila Nova	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Botafogo SP - Juventude	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Juventude - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
12.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Mirassol - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
01.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
23.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Juventude	2:1
14.11.20	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	2:3
11.08.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Juventude	0:1
26.10.18	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
17.07.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Juventude	0:0

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