Match Info

Paulista - Round 6

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Guarani		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.75
	1.72	3.3	5.15
	1.76	3.37	5.24
	1.73	3.4	5.22	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.71	3.18	5
	1.75	3.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	5.12 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
53.7%

Draw
28.2%

Ponte Preta
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guarani - Ponte Preta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caique Franca (G) 3. Raphael 13. Mauricio Antonio 4. Jonathan Costa 6. Emerson Barbosa 5. Willian Farias (C) 8. Nathan Melo 7. Guilherme Parede 10. Isaque 11. Mirandinha 9. Maranhao	12. Diogo Silva (C) 28. Pacheco 3. Lucas Cunha 33. David Braz 37. Kevyson 5. Rodrigo Souza 35. Gustavo Telles 38. Tarik 7. Diego Tavares 77. Bryan Borges 10. Cristiano
Substitutes
2. Cicinho 17. Dentinho 20. Diego Torres 22. Guilherme Cachoeira 23. Hebert 21. Kaua Jesus 18. Kewen 19. Lucca 12. Mateus Claus (G) 15. Povoa M. 14. Ralf 16. Renan Castro	67. Elvis 20. Jean Carlos 27. Juan Rodrigues 2. Julio 70. Lucas Emanuel 11. Luis Phelipe 18. Machado R. 17. Miguel Morais 8. Mora D. 80. Pedrinho 4. Rabello 1. Thiago Coelho (G)
Coaches
Elano	Fernandes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Caique Franca 🟥,
24', Nathan Melo ↓, Mateus Claus ↑,
33', Gustavo Telles ↓, Elvis ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maranhao ↓, Lucca ↑,
57', Mirandinha 🟨,
57', Pacheco 🟨,
59', Emerson Barbosa 🟨,
65', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Machado R. ↑,
65', Kevyson ↓, Lucas Emanuel ↑,
66', Mirandinha ↓, Hebert ↑,
66', Isaque ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
77', Cristiano ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
77', Bryan Borges ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
84', Guilherme Parede ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
86', Machado R. 🟨,
90', Lucca 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Hebert ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Elvis 🟨,
90+6', Willian Farias 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 1.

Guarani has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ponte Preta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Guarani is the team to beat.

There will not play in Guarani: Igor Pereira (Injury)

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos (Inactive) Elvis (Inactive) Saimon (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guarani: Rafael Donato (Inactive) Rian (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego M. L. (Inactive) Joao Gabriel (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Guarani - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.62%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Ponte Preta - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.34%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.26	Portuguesa - Guarani	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Velo Clube - Guarani	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Guarani - Santos	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Guarani - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTLT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.01.26	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Capivariano - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Ponte Preta - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0
06.09.25	Guarani - Ponte Preta	0:1
02.08.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.02.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.24	Ponte Preta - Guarani	0:1
30.06.24	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:1
02.09.23	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:0

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