The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontedera 30.3%
Draw 29.9%
SPAL 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
28.5%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
29.6%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontedera's form might have worsened.
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontedera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Pontedera - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Tantalocchi E. (G) 2. Gagliardi L. 19. Espeche M. 5. Martinelli R. 23. Cerretti C. 18. Guidi M. 27. Ladinetti R. 25. Pietra N. 21. Perretta G. 11. Ianesi S. 9. Italeng J.
12. Galeotti C. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 29. Nador S. 13. Polito V. 28. Calapai L. 20. Zammarini R. 10. Radrezza I. 33. D'Orazio L. 19. Mignanelli D. 7. Antenucci M. 11. Rao E.
Substitutes
7. Ambrosini M. 26. Benucci L. 1. Calvani S. (G) 14. Corona G. 24. Coviello A. 31. Innocenti M. 3. Maggini F. 28. Maiello F. 6. Pretato M. 37. Sarpa A. 30. Vivoli N. (G)
96. Andreoli L. 93. Angeletti T. 26. Bassoli A. 80. Buchel M. 92. Cecchinato L. 91. Conte O. 8. El Kaddouri O. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 94. Roda A. 95. Tarolli S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Espeche M. ↓, Pretato M. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Pietra N. ⚽,
28', Polito V. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Pretato M. ⚽,
57', Polito V. ↓, El Kaddouri O. ↑,
57', Radrezza I. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
62', Guidi M. 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Cerretti C. ⚽,
63', El Kaddouri O. 🟥,
73', 4 - 0, Ianesi S. ⚽,
76', Gagliardi L. ↓, Ambrosini M. ↑,
77', Martinelli R. ↓, Maggini F. ↑,
80', Rao E. ↓, Conte O. ↑,
81', Pietra N. ↓, Benucci L. ↑,
81', Italeng J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, Ladinetti R. ⚽,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 2.
Pontedera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
SPAL is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Pontedera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
Italy
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Tantalocchi E. (G) 
Espeche M. 
Italeng J. 
Nador S. 
Buchel M. 
Conte O. 
El Kaddouri O. 
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