Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pontedera		Novara

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3
	2.4	2.9	2.85
	2.38	2.85	2.95
	2.45	2.75	2.9
	2.51	3.03	3.12
	2.5	2.9	3
	2.42	3.04	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.3)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	2.97 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
37.7%

Draw
31.4%

Novara
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

21.8%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontedera - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Renate - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
02.02.21	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Piacenza - Pontedera	0:2 ✺
24.01.21	Pontedera - Olbia	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Pergolettese - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWWL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.21	Novara - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Giana Erminio - Novara	2:2 ✺
31.01.21	Lucchese - Novara	1:4 ✺
23.01.21	Novara - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
17.01.21	Como - Novara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.20	Novara - Pontedera	1:2
26.01.20	Novara - Pontedera	1:1
15.09.19	Pontedera - Novara	0:0
30.12.18	Novara - Pontedera	1:0
28.11.18	Pontedera - Novara	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺

Pontedera - Novara