Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Como		Novara

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.5
	2	2.9	3.75
	1.9	2.88	4.1
	1.95	3	3.75
	2.11	3.09	4.03
	2.2	3	3.5
	2	2.99	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	3.81 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
45.3%

Draw
30.6%

Novara
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

29.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Como, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Como - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 15).

Como in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Novara is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Novara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Como will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Como won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.20	Como - Livorno	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Grosseto - Como	3:4 ✺
12.12.20	Como - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
06.12.20	Pontedera - Como	2:2 ✺
03.12.20	Pro Sesto - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWTW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.21	Novara - Olbia	1:1 ✺
23.12.20	Pistoiese - Novara	2:0 ✺
20.12.20	Novara - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Pergolettese - Novara	2:0 ✺
09.12.20	Piacenza - Novara	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.11.19	Novara - Como	2:1
Italian Serie B
13.02.16	Como - Novara	1:1
28.09.15	Novara - Como	0:2
Club Friendly
29.08.15	Novara - Como	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
04.03.15	Como - Novara	1:0
09.11.14	Novara - Como	4:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.10.14	Como - Novara	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	Lens - Como	✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.26	Como - Venezia	✺
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺

Como - Novara