Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Guidonia Montecelio		Pontedera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.45
	1.76	3.5	4.83
	1.70	3.77	4.44	Watch
	1.71	3.32	4.65	Watch
	1.65	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	4.55 (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
53.7%

Draw
26.1%

Pontedera
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Pontedera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mazzi G. (G) 5. Cristini A. 2. Esempio S. 13. Mule E. 77. Zappella D. 33. Tascone S. 14. Santoro S. 21. Mastrantonio V. 8. Errico A. 32. Zuppel D. 90. Bernardotto G.	22. Biagini V. (G) 21. Perretta G. 5. Corradini F. 3. Vona E. 7. Migliardi F. 14. Manfredonia M. 10. Ladinetti R. 17. Vitali P. 8. Faggi F. 25. Nabian H. 29. Andolfi T.
Substitutes
9. Cali A. 18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 10. Spavone A. 17. Stefanelli F. 1. Stellato G. (G) 99. Tessiore A. 66. Vitturini D.	24. Bassanini R. 33. Battimelli G. 23. Cerretti C. 27. Coviello A. 6. Gueye O. 4. Milazzo S. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 16. Polizzi M. 19. Pretato M. 30. Strada N. (G) 9. Tarantino J. 26. Tempre M. 1. Vannucchi T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Zappella D. 🟨,
18', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
25', Vona E. 🟨,
28', Vona E. 🟨,
35', Manfredonia M. ↓, Pretato M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Bernardotto G. ⚽,
57', Pretato M. 🟨,
61', Pretato M. 🟨,
62', Cristini A. 🟨,
64', Andolfi T. ↓, Cerretti C. ↑,
70', Tascone S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
71', Errico A. 🟨,
79', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
82', Nabian H. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
82', Faggi F. ↓, Milazzo S. ↑,
84', Santoro S. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
84', Bernardotto G. ↓, Cali A. ↑,
84', Errico A. ↓, Vitturini D. ↑,
89', Tessiore A. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Vitturini D. ⚽,
90+6', Zuppel D. 🟥,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).

Guidonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pontedera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Guidonia is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gubbio - Guidonia Montecelio	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Forlì - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWWL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Pontedera - Perugia	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
20.10.25	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ascoli - Pontedera	5:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gubbio - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLLT

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