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Current Win Probability
Pontedera 18.4%
Draw 27.2%
Ravenna 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
27%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
26.3%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Pontedera aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Pontedera - Ravenna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Biagini V. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 33. Fancelli A. 13. Sapola M. 27. Mbambi J. 8. Faggi F. 80. Caponi A. 25. Nabian H. 10. Kabashi E. 28. Raychev A. 45. Yeboah P.
25. Poluzzi G. (G) 2. Donati G. 21. Esposito A. 44. Bianconi A. 77. Da Pozzo L. 17. Lonardi L. 16. Tenkorang J. 11. Rrapaj P. 10. Viola N. 7. Okaka S. 23. Fischnaller M.
Substitutes
32. Beghetto L. 7. Emmanuello S. 2. Giacomelli R. 21. Lugano T. 14. Manfredonia M. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 40. Saracco U. (G) 30. Strada N. (G) 11. Teixeira S. 17. Vitali P. 26. Wagner G.
14. Bani C. 27. Corsinelli F. 6. Di Marco T. 79. Italeng J. 4. Mandorlini M. 22. Morigi M. (G) 9. Motti M. 47. Scaringi M. 19. Spini C. 12. Stagni T. (G) 76. Zakaria K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Yeboah P. ↓, Vitali P. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Da Pozzo L. ⚽,
71', Mbambi J. ↓, Paolieri L. ↑,
75', Okaka S. ↓, Motti M. ↑,
75', Viola N. ↓, Corsinelli F. ↑,
78', Cerretti C. 🟨,
79', Kabashi E. ↓, Beghetto L. ↑,
79', Raychev A. ↓, Wagner G. ↑,
81', Da Pozzo L. ↓, Mandorlini M. ↑,
81', Fischnaller M. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
86', Bianconi A. ↓, Scaringi M. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
Pontedera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ravenna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Ravenna is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Ravenna
8
5
2
1
13:4
9
17
Last Results with these Odds
Ravenna - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.08%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.