Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 35

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Carpi		Pontedera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.55
	2.06	3.2	4.06
	2.17	3.39	3.02	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	1.97	3.35	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	3.59 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
45.5%

Draw
28.6%

Pontedera
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Carpi - Pontedera Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pontedera will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 6. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 2. Verza N. 29. Rosetti M. 5. Figoli M. 33. Pitti E. 10. Stanzani L. 11. Casarini F. 23. Sall A.	40. Saracco U. (G) 13. Sapola M. 94. Piana L. 27. Mbambi J. 3. Leo D. 14. Manfredonia M. 8. Faggi F. 23. Cerretti C. 28. Raychev A. 16. Buffon L. 25. Nabian H.
Substitutes
8. Amayah P. 44. Benvenuto M. 7. Cecotti T. 77. Gaddini M. 9. Gerbi E. 30. Giani E. 27. Giva N. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 28. Puletto F. 3. Rigo M. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 16. Tcheuna R.	32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 80. Caponi A. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 7. Emmanuello S. 33. Fancelli A. 10. Kabashi E. 21. Lugano T. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 30. Strada N. (G) 17. Vitali P. 26. Wagner G. 45. Yeboah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Casarini F. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Casarini F. ⚽,
36', Mbambi J. ↓, Caponi A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Faggi F. 🟨,
62', Casarini F. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
62', Buffon L. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
62', Manfredonia M. ↓, Kabashi E. ↑,
73', Piana L. 🟨,
75', Sall A. 🟥,
78', Verza N. ↓, Puletto F. ↑,
78', Stanzani L. ↓, Tcheuna R. ↑,
82', Puletto F. 🟨,
82', Faggi F. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
83', Raychev A. ↓, Vitali P. ↑,
90', Pietra N. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
90+3', Nabian H. 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Carpi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carpi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Carpi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
21.03.26	Carpi - Pineto	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Livorno - Carpi	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Gubbio - Carpi	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ascoli - Carpi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
29.03.26	Pontedera - Bra	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Pianese - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Pontedera - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Perugia - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Pontedera - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.11.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:1
15.02.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:2
05.10.24	Carpi - Pontedera	2:1

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