Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pianese		Pontedera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.92	3.05	4.05
	2.17	3.1	3.64
	1.95	3.04	4.1	Watch
	1.95	2.88	3.8
	2.1	3.05	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.04 ↓ (3.33)	3.9 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
46.2%

Draw
30.2%

Pontedera
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+2%)

Pianese - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 27. Bertini M. 15. Gorelli M. 13. Ercolani L. 4. Colombo M. 30. Proietto F. 8. Simeoni L. 21. Tirelli M. 77. Martey C. 10. Ianesi S. 29. Fabrizi L.	40. Saracco U. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 3. Leo D. 13. Sapola M. 28. Raychev A. 14. Manfredonia M. 80. Caponi A. 8. Faggi F. 27. Mbambi J. 25. Nabian H. 45. Yeboah P.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 33. Coccia L. 47. Jasharovski A. 56. Masetti L. 12. Nespola M. (G) 9. Ongaro E. 7. Peli L. 24. Reali A. (G) 14. Sodero A. 19. Sussi C. 71. Xhani K.	32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 16. Buffon L. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 7. Emmanuello S. 33. Fancelli A. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 17. Vitali P. 26. Wagner G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Faggi F. 🟨,
38', Nabian H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Colombo M. ↓, Sussi C. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Sussi C. ⚽,
55', Sussi C. 🟨,
56', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
60', Yeboah P. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
60', Manfredonia M. ↓, Vitali P. ↑,
67', Martey C. ↓, Coccia L. ↑,
72', Mbambi J. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
75', Fabrizi L. ↓, Ongaro E. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Cerretti C. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Sapola M. ⚽,
84', Tirelli M. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Ongaro E. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Nabian H. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1.

Pianese is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pontedera has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pianese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pianese is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Pianese - Pineto	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Ravenna - Pianese	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Bra - Pianese	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Pianese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Livorno - Pianese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTTTW
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Pontedera - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Perugia - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Pontedera - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.11.25	Pontedera - Pianese	2:0
28.03.25	Pianese - Pontedera	0:3
16.11.24	Pontedera - Pianese	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Pontedera - Pianese	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
07.12.19	Pianese - Pontedera	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.08.19	Pontedera - Pianese	1:1

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