Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pontedera		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3	2.25
	2.88	3	2.42
	2.99	3.02	2.37	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.38
	3.03	2.94	2.32	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.11)	2.94 ↓ (3.19)	2.36 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
30.6%

Draw
30.9%

Sassari Torres
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.8%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

28%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sassari Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Pontedera - Sassari Torres Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 3. Vona E. 94. Piana L. 21. Perretta G. 8. Faggi F. 10. Ladinetti R. 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 17. Vitali P. 11. Ianesi S. 25. Nabian H.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 30. Fabriani C. 23. Antonelli N. 3. Mercadante M. 27. Zambataro E. 24. Giorico D. 4. Brentan M. 16. Sala M. 10. Mastinu G. (C) 7. Di Stefano L. 9. Musso A.
Substitutes
24. Bassanini R. 33. Battimelli G. 32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 88. Caponi A. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 2. Giacomelli R. 6. Gueye O. 14. Manfredonia M. 7. Migliardi F. 18. Paolieri L. 19. Pretato M. 30. Strada N. (G) 45. Yeboah P.	5. Biagetti C. 25. Bonin L. 11. Diakite A. 26. Dumani S. 15. Liviero M. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A. 6. Nunziatini F. 77. Zecca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Vona E. (Own goal),
19', 1 - 2, Faggi F. ⚽,
31', Vitali P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vona E. ↓, Pretato M. ↑,
52', 1 - 3, Di Stefano L. ⚽,
59', Ladinetti R. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
60', Perretta G. ↓, Migliardi F. ↑,
64', Mastinu G. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
68', Ianesi S. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
69', Cerretti C. 🟨,
74', Musso A. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
74', Di Stefano L. ↓, Bonin L. ↑,
83', Nabian H. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
85', Brentan M. ↓, Zecca G. ↑,
90+7', Scaccabarozzi J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Torres could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torres	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pontedera - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.57%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Sassari Torres - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.25	Livorno - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Pontedera - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ravenna - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Bra - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.25	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Gubbio - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Rimini - Sassari Torres	N/A ✺
24.11.25	Livorno - Sassari Torres	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTT?L

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.08.25	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	1:0
23.02.25	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	1:0
12.10.24	Pontedera - Sassari Torres	2:3
23.02.24	Pontedera - Sassari Torres	1:2
22.10.23	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	0:0
05.03.23	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	0:1
29.10.22	Pontedera - Sassari Torres	1:0

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