Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pontedera		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.05	2.88
	2.45	3.14	2.96
	2.38	3.08	2.92	Watch
	2.38	2.88	2.88
	2.38	2.93	2.94	Watch
	2.33	3.14	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.58)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)	2.93 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
38.4%

Draw
30.2%

Sambenedettese
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Pontedera - Sambenedettese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 18. Paolieri L. 19. Pretato M. 3. Vona E. 21. Perretta G. 23. Cerretti C. 8. Faggi F. 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 17. Vitali P. 25. Nabian H. 33. Battimelli G.	22. Cultraro G. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 21. Dalmazzi A. 4. Zini A. 19. Vesprini R. 18. Candellori K. 24. Alfieri V. 80. Piccoli M. 11. Battista N. 9. Eusepi U. 47. Konate A.
Substitutes
29. Andolfi T. 24. Bassanini R. 32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 27. Coviello A. 6. Gueye O. 7. Migliardi F. 4. Milazzo S. 20. Pietrelli R. 30. Strada N. (G) 9. Tarantino J. 26. Tempre M.	8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 12. Grillo M. (G) 77. Iaiunese C. 6. Lulli L. 7. Marranzino P. 70. Martins K. 17. Pezzola L. 94. Tataranni F. 37. Toure M. 23. Toure N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Pretato M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Vitali P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dalmazzi A. ↓, Chelli M. ↑,
46', Chelli M. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Battista N. ⚽,
70', Vesprini R. 🟨,
71', Battimelli G. ↓, Migliardi F. ↑,
75', Alfieri V. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
75', Vesprini R. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
75', Eusepi U. ↓, Toure N. ↑,
82', Battista N. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
87', Lulli L. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Chelli M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Sambenedettese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pontedera - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.41%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Ravenna - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Bra - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Pontedera - Pianese	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.11.25	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Sambenedettese - Brescia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Sambenedettese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sambenedettese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Campobasso - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTT

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