Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pontedera		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.1	2.45
	2.81	3.08	2.61
	2.83	3.10	2.49	Watch
	2.81	3.23	2.48	Watch
	2.66	3.1	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.83)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.53 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
33.5%

Draw
29.8%

Carpi
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Pontedera - Carpi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pontedera (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontedera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 21. Perretta G. 19. Pretato M. 7. Migliardi F. 14. Manfredonia M. 10. Ladinetti R. 17. Vitali P. 8. Faggi F. 11. Ianesi S. 25. Nabian H.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Rossini M. 4. Zagnoni D. 6. Panelli T. 11. Casarini F. 29. Rosetti M. 80. Pietra N. 2. Verza N. 10. Stanzani L. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 23. Sall A.
Substitutes
29. Andolfi T. 24. Bassanini R. 33. Battimelli G. 5. Corradini F. 27. Coviello A. 6. Gueye O. 4. Milazzo S. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 12. Raffi A. (G) 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 30. Strada N. (G) 9. Tarantino J. 26. Tempre M. 3. Vona E.	8. Amayah P. 70. Arcopinto A. 7. Cecotti T. 5. Figoli M. 20. Forte R. 9. Gerbi E. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 16. Tcheuna R. 77. Visani R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rossini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Stanzani L. ↓, Cecotti T. ↑,
57', Verza N. ↓, Tcheuna R. ↑,
61', Rosetti M. 🟨,
71', Sall A. ↓, Gerbi E. ↑,
73', Ianesi S. 🟨,
78', Ianesi S. ↓, Scaccabarozzi J. ↑,
81', Cerretti C. 🟨,
85', Casarini F. ↓, Figoli M. ↑,
85', Rosetti M. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Pietra N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pontedera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
21.11.25	Bra - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Pontedera - Pianese	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Pontedera - Perugia	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLTW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.25	Carpi - Rimini	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pineto - Carpi	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Carpi - Livorno	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sassari Torres - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Carpi - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:2
05.10.24	Carpi - Pontedera	2:1

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