The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontevedra 44.7%
Draw 28.7%
Celta de Vigo B 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
28.7%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
29.6%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Pontevedra - Celta de Vigo B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Marqueta R. (G) 16. Vidorreta A. 4. Bosch M. 23. Montoro A. 11. Cuesta M. 12. Ballardo F. 10. Pino Y. (C) 21. Gomez D. 6. Ribeiro A. 20. Gil A. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. (C) 3. Ribes K. 2. Gavian P. 5. Burcio H. 10. de la Iglesia D. 14. Oliveras J. 17. Somuah B. 19. Marcos O. 9. Marin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Ballardo F. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Marcos O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oliveras J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
46', Gil A. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Capdevila A. ↑,
61', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
61', Ballardo F. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', Ribeiro A. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
73', 🟨,
78', Somuah B. ↓, Kibet A. ↑,
82', Marin A. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
82', Cuesta M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 2.
Pontevedra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Celta de Vigo B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Pontevedra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pontevedra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Pontevedra
6
2
2
2
8:8
0
8
Last Results with these Odds
Pontevedra - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.