Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pontevedra		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.5	3.1	3.42
	2.32	3.18	3.09	Watch
	2.38	2.7	3
	2.4	2.64	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.17)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.1 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
39.1%

Draw
31.1%

Barakaldo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Pontevedra - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marqueta R. (G) 16. Vidorreta A. 5. Perez A. 23. Montoro A. 11. Cuesta M. 17. Macias L. 12. Ballardo F. 10. Pino Y. (C) 20. Gil A. 21. Gomez D. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.	13. Campos G. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 4. Dufur U. 24. Ropero I. 16. Lopez O. 15. Castillo I. 8. Huidobro J. (C) 21. Pena A. 14. Munoz I. 19. Galarza A. 17. de Leon J.
Substitutes
4. Bosch M. 28. Canosa Toscano S. 2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 19. Garay B. 7. Gonzalez A. 18. Lopez R. 14. Resende J. 1. Sousa E. (G)	23. Albizua U. 2. de Jesus B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 20. Mandiang S. 5. Molina E. 11. Perez E. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Dufur U. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,
43', de Leon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez O. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
46', Huidobro J. ↓, Sabin ↑,
46', de Leon J. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
47', Pena A. 🟨,
57', Comparada Gonzalez A. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
64', Munoz I. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
65', Macias L. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
75', Gil A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
75', Gomez D. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
78', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
83', Ballardo F. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Resende J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent performances by Pontevedra have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barakaldo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pontevedra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pontevedra	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Pontevedra - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.03.26	Zamora - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Pontevedra - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pontevedra - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Osasuna B - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTTT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.03.26	Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Ferrol - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Barakaldo - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	Barakaldo - Pontevedra	0:1

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