Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2


	Zamora		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.7
	2.08	2.98	3.6
	2.13	2.93	3.83
	2.13	2.98	3.8	Watch
	2.05	2.7	3.6
	2.08	2.85	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	2.89 ↓ (2.98)	3.71 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
43.7%

Draw
31.7%

Pontevedra
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

31.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Pontevedra aligns with the current prediction.

Zamora - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Lopez S. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 22. Sancho J. 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 19. Abde 7. Kike 9. Losada M.	13. Marqueta R. (G) 19. Garay B. 4. Bosch M. 23. Montoro A. 11. Cuesta M. 20. Gil A. 16. Vidorreta A. 8. Abelenda B. (C) 21. Gomez D. 6. Ribeiro A. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 3. Merchan D. 14. Moreno D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 27. Sy M.	12. Ballardo F. 2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 7. Gonzalez A. 18. Lopez R. 17. Macias L. 5. Perez A. 14. Resende J. 1. Sousa E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Bosch M. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
35', 🟨,
41', Lopez S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Abde ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Ramos C. ⚽,
61', Perez A. 🟨,
63', Garay B. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
63', Gomez D. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
63', Gil A. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
65', Cuesta M. ↓, Ballardo F. ↑,
74', Lopez S. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
74', Abde ↓, Buron L. ↑,
80', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
80', Ramos C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
80', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Macias L. ⚽,
89', Sancho J. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Ribeiro A. 🟥,
90+4', Lozano M. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pontevedra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zamora might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
11	Pontevedra	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.03.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Zamora	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Zamora - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Zamora - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWTL
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.03.26	Pontevedra - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pontevedra - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Osasuna B - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cacereño - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.25	Pontevedra - Zamora	4:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.02.24	Pontevedra - Zamora	1:3
15.10.23	Zamora - Pontevedra	0:4
06.02.21	Pontevedra - Zamora	0:1

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