Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Poole Town		Didcot Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.6
	1.53	4.5	4.5
	1.54	5.23	4.26
	1.55	5.23	4.27
	1.5	4.51	5.16
	1.53	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.95)	4.7 ↑ (4.07)	4.55 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
60.2%

Draw
19.6%

Didcot Town
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

22.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

22%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.

Didcot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Didcot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poole Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Didcot Town than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Didcot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Slade H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Samadi K. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Didcot is Relegated to

Recent matches Poole is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Didcot is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poole could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Poole have a series of home games.

In this match Poole is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Poole won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
16.04.24	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	3:0 ✺
09.04.24	Poole Town - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWLL
- Didcot Town
English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Didcot Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Sholing - Didcot Town	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Didcot Town - Swindon Supermarine	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Hanwell Town - Didcot Town	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Plymouth Parkway - Didcot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Didcot Town - Poole Town	0:7

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