Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 27

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Guido Teghil (Lignano Sabbiadro)


	Pordenone		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.73	3.15	4.7
	1.71	3.07	4.37
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.68	3.44	5	Watch
	1.68	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	4.68 ↓ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
53.1%

Draw
27.7%

Mantova
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

27.3%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

25.9%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pordenone's form might have worsened.

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mantova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pordenone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mantova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pordenone - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Pordenone is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
05.02.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pordenone	3:1 ✺
01.02.23	Pordenone - Renate	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Padova - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Pordenone - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Pordenone - Virtus Verona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTWT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
05.02.23	Mantova - Virtus Verona	2:3 ✺
01.02.23	Pro Sesto - Mantova	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Mantova - Lecco	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Trento - Mantova	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Mantova - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.22	Mantova - Pordenone	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
29.01.17	Pordenone - Mantova	0:0
13.09.16	Mantova - Pordenone	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.16	Pordenone - Mantova	1:0
19.09.15	Mantova - Pordenone	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
23.08.15	Pordenone - Mantova	1:2
Italian Serie C Group A
29.03.15	Pordenone - Mantova	2:1

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