Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 27

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Mantova		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	3.8	6.75
	1.45	4	7	Watch
	1.45	3.8	6.2
	1.47	3.94	8.09
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.41	3.94	7.48
	1.44	3.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	3.9 ↓ (4.2)	7.05 ↓ (7.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
63.6%

Draw
23.4%

Pro Patria
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.9%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

20.5%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mantova - Pro Patria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pro Patria will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 87. De Maio S. 4. Celesia C. 28. Muroni M. 21. Trimboli S. 14. Galuppini F. 30. Bragantini D. 11. Fiori A. 7. Mensah D.	12. Mangano G. (G) 16. Fietta G. 21. Minelli A. 6. Moretti A. 20. Renault G. 31. Mallamo A. 8. Marano F. 3. Ndrecka A. 14. Bertoni L. 7. Stanzani L. 69. Curatolo D.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 19. Bombagi F. 8. Burrai S. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 27. Maggioni T. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 23. Panizzi E. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.	5. Bashi E. 17. Citterio G. 25. Ferri D. 23. Ghioldi F. 10. Nicco G. 9. Parker S. 18. Piran L. 11. Pitou J. 27. Renault C. 1. Rovida W. (G) 28. Somma M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Pro Patria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mantova is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mantova to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mantova won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.24	Alessandria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Mantova - Triestina	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Mantova - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Pro Sesto - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.24	Pro Patria - Padova	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Triestina - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.10.23	Pro Patria - Mantova	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Mantova - Pro Patria	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
14.01.23	Mantova - Pro Patria	2:0
13.09.22	Pro Patria - Mantova	3:0
16.04.22	Pro Patria - Mantova	2:1
11.12.21	Mantova - Pro Patria	0:0
30.04.16	Pro Patria - Mantova	0:3

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