Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Pordenone		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.4
	2.18	3.05	3.65	Watch
	2.09	3	3.7
	2.15	3.25	3.92
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.13	3.14	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.66 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
44.2%

Draw
30%

Nuova Cosenza
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

21.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pordenone's performance.

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuova Cosenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pordenone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Pordenone - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (30.95%), has project points - 30, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cosenza has the most likely position - 17 (19.68%), has project points - 36, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pordenone is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cosenza has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pordenone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
04.12.21	Benevento - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
30.11.21	Pordenone - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Frosinone - Pordenone	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Pordenone - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Brescia - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
04.12.21	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
30.11.21	Monza - Nuova Cosenza	4:1 ✺
27.11.21	Nuova Cosenza - SPAL	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
05.11.21	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.05.21	Pordenone - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
23.01.21	Nuova Cosenza - Pordenone	0:0
17.07.20	Pordenone - Nuova Cosenza	1:2
15.12.19	Nuova Cosenza - Pordenone	1:2
Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
04.06.17	Nuova Cosenza - Pordenone	0:0
31.05.17	Pordenone - Nuova Cosenza	1:0

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