The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pordenone 39.3%
Draw 30.8%
Alessandria 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
30.5%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
21.3%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.6%
35.6%
28.9%
Pordenone - Alessandria Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 16 - 35.6%). Alessandria will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 35.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pordenone: 21.6% โ 49.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (47%), has project points - 28, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 17 (15.51%), has project points - 40, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Pordenone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alessandria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Watch
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