Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Cosenza		Reggina

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.91	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.88
	4.75	3.15	1.85
	4.71	3.2	1.98
	4.5	3.22	1.91	Watch
	4.1	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.29)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
21.4%

Draw
29%

Reggina
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

29.6%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

29.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Reggina aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Nuova Cosenza - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Reggina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Cosenza has the most likely position - 20 (63.18%), has project points - 33, has currently - 23, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 5 (14.47%), has project points - 57, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (74%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 23, small importance 20, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0.

Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggio Calabria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Reggio Calabria is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
25.02.23	Como - Nuova Cosenza	5:1 ✺
18.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLTW
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
25.02.23	Reggina - Modena	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Cittadella - Reggina	3:2 ✺
11.02.23	Reggina - Pisa	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Palermo - Reggina	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.10.22	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	3:0
19.03.22	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
05.11.21	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	0:1
15.02.21	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:2
20.10.20	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
21.02.15	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.14	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	1:0 penalties

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