The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pordenone 36.1%
Draw 30%
Ascoli 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
29.2%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
21.1%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pordenone - Ascoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (39.3%), has project points - 29, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ascoli has the most likely position - 13 (9.13%), has project points - 51, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Pordenone is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ascoli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
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