Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Benevento		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.54	3.95	6.25	Watch
	1.59	3.8	5.2
	1.6	3.95	6.54
	1.57	3.6	6.5
	1.61	3.92	5.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)	3.87 ↓ (4.05)	5.93 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
59.9%

Draw
24.3%

Pordenone
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

19.6%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Benevento - Pordenone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Benevento has the most likely position - 3 (9.79%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (53%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (32.23%), has project points - 31, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Benevento is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.11.21	Vicenza Virtus - Benevento	2:3 ✺
27.11.21	Benevento - Reggina	4:0 ✺
21.11.21	Pisa - Benevento	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Benevento - Frosinone	1:4 ✺
01.11.21	Benevento - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.11.21	Pordenone - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Frosinone - Pordenone	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Pordenone - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Brescia - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
01.11.21	Pordenone - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.02.20	Benevento - Pordenone	2:1
24.09.19	Pordenone - Benevento	1:1

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