Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday


	Porreres		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.28	2.88	3.05
	2.33	2.91	3.17	Watch
	2.31	3.02	3.14
	2.28	2.88	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)	2.96 ↓ (3.26)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porreres
40.1%

Draw
30.7%

Penya Independent
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porreres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porreres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Porreres - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (1 - 1)
97', 0 - 1, ⚽,
108', 1 - 1, Gonzalez Ayala P. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Porreres is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Penya Independent has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Porreres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Porreres might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porreres won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Porreres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
31.05.25	Penya Independent - Porreres	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Formentera - Porreres	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Porreres - Formentera	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Migjorn - Porreres	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Porreres - PE Sant Jordi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWWW
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
31.05.25	Penya Independent - Porreres	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Constancia - Penya Independent	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Penya Independent - Constancia	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Santanyí - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
07.05.25	Penya Independent - Campos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
31.05.25	Penya Independent - Porreres	0:0

Porreres - Penya Independent: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide