Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Santanyí		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.82
	3.85	3.35	1.85
	3.82	3.4	1.81
	3.91	3.41	1.85
	4.05	3.44	1.78
	3.85	3.35	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (3.88)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)	1.83 (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santanyí
23.4%

Draw
26.9%

Penya Independent
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

24.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santanyí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Santanyí - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Santanyí has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penya Independent's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santanyí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Penya Independent is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santanyí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.05.25	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Migjorn - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Santanyí - Constancia	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Porreres - Santanyí	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Santanyí - Binissalem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLW
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.05.25	Penya Independent - Campos	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Penya Independent - Formentera	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Poblense - Penya Independent	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Penya Independent - Collerense	4:3 ✺
22.03.25	Llosetense - Penya Independent	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.01.25	Penya Independent - Santanyí	4:0
20.05.23	Penya Independent - Santanyí	1:0
13.05.23	Santanyí - Penya Independent	2:1
18.03.23	Santanyí - Penya Independent	1:0
20.11.22	Penya Independent - Santanyí	2:1

Santanyí - Penya Independent: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide