The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portadown 41.4%
Draw 26.3%
Ballymena United 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
26.1%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
25.5%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portadown's performance.
Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ballymena United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portadown that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballymena United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Portadown - Ballymena United Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Portadown will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ballymena United will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ballymena United: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ballymena United (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McCarey A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 7. Chapman L. 13. Fyfe E. 12. Gibson J. 2. Isamala D. 5. MacKinnon L. 11. McCullough S. 19. Teelan J. 26. Thompson G. 8. Wylie B.
23. Breen D. (G) 16. Clarke M. 31. Corbally K. 22. Edogun S. 8. Jarvis A. 3. Lafferty D. 25. Mccallion D. 21. McGeouch D. 11. O'Conchubhair D. 15. O'Donnell S. (C) 5. Toure D.
Substitutes
27. Annett R. 10. Mayse R. 24. McCartan S. 40. Moore A. (G) 30. Quinn B. 3. Rea J. 9. Ukek J.
6. Ali G. 41. Hood J. 10. McEleney P. 1. O'Neill S. (G) 17. O’Reilly J. 33. Taylor D. 20. Thompson J.
Coaches
Currie N.
Kearney O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', O'Donnell S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Edogun S. 🟨,
58', Gibson J. ↓, McCartan S. ↑,
65', Jarvis A. ↓, McEleney P. ↑,
65', O'Conchubhair D. ↓, Hood J. ↑,
70', Isamala D. ↓, Ukek J. ↑,
72', Thompson G. 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Teelan J. ⚽,
81', Lafferty D. ↓, O’Reilly J. ↑,
83', Teelan J. 🟨,
90', Teelan J. ↓, Quinn B. ↑,
90', O’Reilly J. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ballymena United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Portadown won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
World
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McCarey A. (G) 
Altintop B. 
Chapman L. 
McGeouch D. 
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