Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Portimonense		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.15
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.39	3.29	2.24
	3.35	3.19	2.19	Watch
	3	3	2.2
	3.24	3.22	2.2	Watch
	3.33	3.14	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.59)	3.22 ↓ (3.38)	2.2 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
29.1%

Draw
28.8%

Benfica B
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portimonense's form might have worsened.

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	50%	41.7%

Portimonense - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Benfica B will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Portimonense (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Portimonense (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Benfica B (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 73. Junior M. 37. Mateus Sarara 2. Abel A. 31. Edney 15. Xavier 47. Cagro W. 17. Joao Reis (C) 16. Thauan Lara 90. Canario F. 7. Djassi D.	50. Ferreira D. (G) 55. Fonseca J. 85. Ferreira M. 64. Oliveira G. 79. Pinto K. 73. Figueiredo M. 86. Prioste D. (C) 77. Moreira G. 67. Rego R. 91. Silva F. 74. Tome O.
Substitutes
66. Canji A. 77. Cibois S. (G) 21. Dauda M. 22. De Bolle L. 19. Dju M. 40. Joao Vitor 50. Kait K. 6. Neves S. 65. Wellington Santana (G)	54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 87. Edokpolor P. 88. Freitas T. 89. Parente T. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 92. Sandahl A. (G) 78. Soares D. 96. Trevisan J.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Verissimo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
45', Thauan Lara 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, Thauan Lara ⚽,
66', Tome O. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
67', Rego R. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
72', Canario F. ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
75', Silva F. ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
75', Figueiredo M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Edokpolor P. ⚽,
83', Thauan Lara ↓, Canji A. ↑,
88', Pinto K. ↓, Soares D. ↑,
90+6', Djassi D. ↓, Dju M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 2.

Portimonense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Benfica B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Portimonense - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Benfica B - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.03%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.26	Vizela - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Portimonense - Feirense	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Portimonense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Farense - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TLWTW
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
29.01.26	Benfica B - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Leixões - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Benfica B - Chaves	1:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
13.01.26	Newcastle United U21 - Benfica B	0:5 ✺
07.01.26	Chelsea U21 - Benfica B	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.08.25	Benfica B - Portimonense	1:2
09.03.25	Benfica B - Portimonense	0:0
23.11.24	Portimonense - Benfica B	0:2
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Portimonense - Benfica B	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.17	Benfica B - Portimonense	2:3
19.10.16	Portimonense - Benfica B	3:0
20.03.16	Portimonense - Benfica B	1:0

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