Match Info

Date: 28 February 2020, Friday


	Portimonense		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.78	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.32	4.81
	1.79	3.54	5.05
	1.78	3.4	4.8
	1.81	3.4	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.96)	3.41 ↑ (3.26)	4.82 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
52.9%

Draw
27.6%

Setúbal
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

18%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Setúbal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.2%	18.4%	20.4%

Portimonense - Setúbal Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 30 - 61.2%). Setúbal will win (votes: 10 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portimonense: 47.6% – 74.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
23.02.20	Porto - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
15.02.20	Portimonense - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
09.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Portimonense - Tondela	0:1 ✺
26.01.20	BSAD - Portimonense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Liga Portugal
23.02.20	Braga - Setúbal	3:1 ✺
14.02.20	Setúbal - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
09.02.20	Moreirense - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Setúbal - Porto	0:4 ✺
26.01.20	Tondela - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
22.09.19	Setúbal - Portimonense	0:0
19.04.19	Setúbal - Portimonense	1:1
14.12.18	Portimonense - Setúbal	3:1
16.03.18	Setúbal - Portimonense	1:1
30.10.17	Portimonense - Setúbal	5:2
Portuguese League Cup
26.10.17	Portimonense - Setúbal	1:2
30.10.13	Setúbal - Portimonense	1:0

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