Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Stan Sport
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Usa	ESPN USA, ion TV, Tubi TV
World	NWSL+


	Portland Thorns		Boston Legacy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.70	3.40
	1.78	3.65	3.5
	1.83	3.81	3.61
	1.83	4.02	3.66	Watch
	1.77	3.7	3.5
	1.92	4.29	3.38	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.05)	3.85 ↑ (3.46)	3.51 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Thorns
50.3%

Draw
23.7%

Boston Legacy
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Thorns's performance.

Boston Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Thorns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Legacy than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Portland Thorns - Boston Legacy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Arnold M. (G) 2. Reyes R. 4. Calzada C. 24. Perry J. 25. Vignola M. 21. Fleming J. (C) 22. Weaver M. 20. Nijstad N. 19. Tordin P. 7. Hanks C. 9. Wilson S.	1. Murphy C. (G) 53. St.Georges B. 24. Lais 2. Reale L. 20. Hernandez N. 6. Karich A. 26. Cano A. 21. Olivieri B. 23. Schupansky S. 14. Traore A. 12. Prince N. (C)
Substitutes
6. Bogere C. 15. Harvey S. 16. Hiatt S. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 23. Muller M. 5. Obaze I. 66. Turner R.	7. Allen A. 9. Amanda Gutierres 29. Davis D. 15. Gambone A. 5. Hasbo J. 18. Ivory L. C. (G) 3. Kaka 8. Smith S. 10. Stevens E.
Coaches
Vilahamn R.	Patao F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Reyes R. 🟨,
22', Wilson S. 🟥,
27', Olivieri B. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Cano A. ⚽, Karich A. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Schupansky S. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', Weaver M. ↓, Turner R. ↑,
56', Reyes R. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
58', Murphy C. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Tordin P. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Lais ↓, Kaka ↑,
60', Olivieri B. ↓, Stevens E. ↑,
64', Turner R. 🟨,
77', Traore A. ↓, Allen A. ↑,
80', Hanks C. ↓, Mckenzie M. ↑,
85', Schupansky S. ↓, Gambone A. ↑,
85', Prince N. ↓, Amanda Gutierres ↑,
86', Nijstad N. ↓, Harvey S. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Amanda Gutierres ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, Harvey S. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 4, Amanda Gutierres ⚽, St.Georges B. (A),
90+5', Fleming J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - NWSL Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 14th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Boston could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Portland Thorns is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Portland Thorns has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Portland Thorns W	27	12	7	8	45:39	6	43
13	Boston Legacy W	27	8	5	14	36:46	-10	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Thorns
NWSL
26.09.26	Portland Thorns - Houston Dash	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Portland Thorns - Washington Spirit	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	NJ NY Gotham - Portland Thorns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLT
- Boston Legacy
NWSL
25.09.26	Seattle Reign - Boston Legacy	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Boston Legacy - Houston Dash	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Washington Spirit - Boston Legacy	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Utah Royals - Boston Legacy	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Boston Legacy - Angel City	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
09.08.26	Boston Legacy - Portland Thorns	3:4

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