Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Max, TNT, TNT Sports
Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	Eurosport, JioTV app, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mexico	MAX
Mongolia	SPOTV
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Spain	3Cat, Esport3
Thailand	SPOTV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
Vietnam	SPOTV
World	EA Sports FC


	St. Louis City		Portland Timbers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.9
	2.12	3.95	3.05	Watch
	2.16	4.05	3.15
				Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.9
	2.17	3.99	3.03	Watch
	2.18	3.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.33)	3.84 ↑ (3.78)	3 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
43.7%

Draw
24.7%

Portland Timbers
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

St. Louis City - Portland Timbers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Portland will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portland Timbers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (G) 91. Orozco J. 15. Yaro J. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 14. Totland T. 7. Ostrak T. 36. Teuchert C. 6. Wallem C. 17. Hartel M. 9. Joao Klauss 12. Pompeu C.	16. Crepeau M. (G) 29. Mosquera J. 13. Zuparic D. 20. Surman F. 4. Miller K. 24. Ayala D. 80. Ortiz J. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 30. Moreno S. 19. Kelsy K. 27. Fory J.
Substitutes
11. Becher S. 22. Hiebert K. 10. Lowen E. 39. Lundt B. (G) 33. Pearce T. 99. Reid J. 45. Silva X. 20. Watts A. 71. Zalinsky J.	21. Chara D. 22. Fernandez O. 88. Guerra G. 15. Miller E. 9. Mora F. 41. Pantemis J. (G) 17. Paredes C. 23. Smith I.
Coaches
Critchley D.	Neville P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. ⚽, Moreno S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fory J. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Joao Klauss (A),
59', Ortiz J. 🟨,
64', Kelsy K. 🟨,
65', Moreno S. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
65', Ortiz J. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
66', Ostrak T. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
67', Pompeu C. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Wallem C. (A),
75', Ayala D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
75', Zuparic D. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
77', Mosquera J. 🟨,
79', Miller K. 🟨,
82', Teuchert C. ↓, Watts A. ↑,
90+2', Joao Klauss 🟨,
90+3', Orozco J. 🟨,
90+5', Orozco J. ↓, Hiebert K. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.

St. Louis City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Portland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Portland has had a series of home games.

St. Louis City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Baumgartl T. (Knee Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
05.07.25	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	St. Louis City - Orlando City	2:4 ✺
14.06.25	St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:3 ✺
08.06.25	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Portland Timbers
MLS
05.07.25	Portland Timbers - New England Revolution	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Toronto FC - Portland Timbers	3:0 ✺
13.06.25	Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
08.06.25	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	2:1
24.08.24	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	4:4
CONCACAF League Cup
09.08.24	St. Louis City - Portland Timbers	3:1
MLS
08.06.24	St. Louis City - Portland Timbers	0:0
29.04.23	St. Louis City - Portland Timbers	1:2
11.03.23	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	1:2

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