The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 50.5%
Draw 23.3%
Portland Timbers 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.3%
21.1%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
20.6%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis City's form might have worsened.
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Timbers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Timbers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
St. Louis City - Portland Timbers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th).
St. Louis City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Portland could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
St. Louis City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
Ostrak T.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for Portland: Bonetig A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Bye B.
(Leg Injury)
McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Mosquera J.
(Foot Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for St. Louis City: Burki R.
(Concussion)
Hiebert K.
(Hip Injury)
Matan A.
(Leg Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Portland: Antony
(Knee Injury)
Sulte H.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:13 (averaging 1.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Louis City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).