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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 37.4%
Draw 24.8%
Portland Timbers 2 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
24.9%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
25.2%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United 2's form might have worsened.
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Timbers 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Timbers 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Minnesota United 2 - Portland Timbers 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Bite K. (G) 95. Vigilante S. 35. Tarnue P. 97. Clarkson J. 59. Farris J. 92. Kabia A. 90. Pechota L. 75. Cruz H. 36. Friedman J. 39. Hille L. 32. Putt T.
91. Joseph S. (G) 57. VanVoorhis B. 61. Lund N. 44. Bamford A. 94. Ondo C. 73. Izoita E. 46. Enriquez V. (C) 53. Ferguson C. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 77. Barjolo B. 47. Cervantes D.
Substitutes
61. Bernard J. 31. Dang N. 51. Grulke C. 44. Porter G. 17. Randell D. 66. Schauf B.
66. Cruthers C. 39. Griffith C. 64. Izoita J. 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H. 51. Nelson M. (G) 63. Nunez D. 48. Zendejas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
34', Tarnue P. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Hille L. ⚽, Putt T. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Izoita E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Barjolo B. ↓, Griffith C. ↑,
62', Cruz H. ↓, Porter G. ↑,
62', Vigilante S. ↓, Dang N. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Izoita E. ⚽, Ferguson C. (A),
66', Hille L. 🟨,
69', Putt T. ↓, Randell D. ↑,
81', Ferguson C. ↓, Mueller H. ↑,
85', Kabia A. 🟨,
87', Friedman J. ↓, Schauf B. ↑,
87', Pechota L. ↓, Grulke C. ↑,
90+2', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, Cruthers C. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 2.
Minnesota 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Portland 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Minnesota 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.6:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Portland Timbers 2 - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.14%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Bite K. (G) 
Vigilante S. 
Tarnue P. 
Kabia A. 
Putt T. 
Lund N. 
Bamford A. 
Ondo C. 
Cervantes D. 
Griffith C. 
