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Current Win Probability
Tacoma Defiance 40.9%
Draw 25.1%
Portland Timbers 2 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
25.2%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
25.8%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Anchor M. (C) 47. Alvarez D. 53. Sandnes G. 58. Winslow J. 84. Gaffney C. 40. O'Neill M. 32. Gnaulati X. 48. Phoenix C. 59. Bell M. 42. Jauregui R. 81. Bronnik M.
91. Joseph S. (G) 16. Jura S. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 53. Ferguson C. 39. Griffith C. 46. Enriquez V. 66. Cruthers C. 37. Santos N. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 47. Cervantes D.
Substitutes
38. Bonilla K. 70. Brito K. 80. Brown D. 30. Carli E. 43. Hassan O. 97. Kitafuji S. 55. Rios J. 34. Robles D. 41. Shour M. (G)
77. Barjolo B. 88. Guerra G. 73. Izoita E. 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H. 51. Nelson M. (G) 63. Nunez D. 57. VanVoorhis B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Cervantes D. 🟥,
19', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Gaffney C. ⚽, Winslow J. (A),
61', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, VanVoorhis B. ↑,
61', Santos N. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
61', Griffith C. ↓, Izoita E. ↑,
62', Alvarez D. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
64', Rios J. 🟨,
65', Gnaulati X. 🟨,
73', VanVoorhis B. 🟨,
77', Bell M. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
89', Phoenix C. ↓, Bonilla K. ↑,
89', Rios J. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Guerra G. ⚽, VanVoorhis B. (A),
90+3', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Carli E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Lund N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Portland 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 0.
In recent outings, Tacoma has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Portland 2 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tacoma could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Tacoma has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tacoma has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:40 (averaging 1.9:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tacoma against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:13 goals (averaging 1.9:1.4 per game).
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Anchor M. (C) 
Alvarez D. 
Phoenix C. 
Bell M. 
Bamford A. 
Lund N. 
Griffith C. 
Cervantes D. 
Kitafuji S. 
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