Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Sidiropoulos T. (Gre)


	Porto		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.44	4.9	7.8
	1.45	4.7	6.8
	1.47	4.76	7.12
	1.42	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.85	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	4.66 ↑ (4.08)	7.23 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
66.4%

Draw
20.5%

Club Brugge
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.7%	7.7%	10.7%

Porto - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (138 of 169 users predict this - 81.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.83% – 87.49%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Porto has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (21%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (25%), has a good chance of round of 16 (51%), has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Brugge has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (18%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a chance of round of 16 (43%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 75, very big importance 92, big match rating 83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brugge in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Otavio (Ribs Injury) Taremi M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Brugge: Buchanan T. (Muscle Injury) Clinton Mata (Ankle Injury) Lang N. (Ankle Injury) Rits M. (Knee Injury) Vormer R. (Inactive)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Porto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
10.09.22	Porto - Chaves	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Atlético Madrid - Porto	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.09.22	Gil Vicente - Porto	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Rio Ave - Porto	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.09.22	Seraing - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Club Brugge - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.09.22	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	4:0 ✺
26.08.22	Charleroi - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
21.08.22	Club Brugge - Kortrijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.11.16	Porto - Club Brugge	1:0
18.10.16	Club Brugge - Porto	1:2

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