The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gil Vicente 12.8%
Draw 21.7%
Porto 65.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
12.2%
22.1%
65.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.8%
21.3%
68.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
0%
90%
Gil Vicente - Porto Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Porto (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Porto will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Lucao (G) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. (C) 45. Moreira D. 12. Lausen A. 86. Prioste D. 77. Murilo de Souza 10. Garcia S. 11. Fernandes J. 9. Walace Franca
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 12. Zaidu 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 10. Veiga G. 11. Pepê 19. Andre Silva 17. Sainz B.
Substitutes
3. Espigares A. 32. Fernandez M. 19. Guilherme Gomes 99. Kaba M. 82. Maia G. 27. Moreira A. 1. Picornell A. (G) 20. Pinto Martins G. 94. Samuel Portugal (G) 2. Silva J. 7. Toure T. 6. Ze Carlos
14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 52. Fernandes M. 42. Fofana S. 37. Gabriel Mec 29. Gimenez S. 16. Hwang In-Beom 74. Moura F. 18. Perez N. 9. Samu 6. Smalling C. 22. Varela A.
Coaches
Pinto L.
Farioli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Veiga G. ↓, Hwang In-Beom ↑,
56', Rosario P. 🟨,
60', Andre Silva ↓, Samu ↑,
61', Lausen A. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
61', Walace Franca ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
61', Fernandes J. ↓, Pinto Martins G. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Sainz B. ⚽,
73', Rosario P. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
73', Sainz B. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
76', Prioste D. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
76', Garcia S. ↓, Guilherme Gomes ↑,
84', Elimbi M. 🟥,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 2.
Gil Vicente is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Porto has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Gil Vicente could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Gil Vicente has faced a series of away games on the road.
Porto holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Knee Injury)
Bermejo S.
(Inactive)
Guilherme Gomes
(Inactive)
Tchaptchet A.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Gil Vicente: Weverson
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Porto: Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
William Gomes
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gil Vicente has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:36 (averaging 0.7:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gil Vicente against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 9:19 goals (averaging 0.8:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
FC Porto
9
9
0
0
21:4
17
27
7
Gil Vicente
9
4
2
3
8:7
1
14
Outrights of Liga Portugal for now
FC Porto: 57.19% Gil Vicente: 0.54%
Last Results with these Odds
Porto - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.