Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Club Brugge		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.8	2.05
	3.25	3.8	2.05
	3.45	3.85	2.08
	3.3	3.95	2.02
	3.4	3.89	2.12
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.38	3.8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.01)	3.81 ↑ (3.78)	2.07 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
28.6%

Draw
25.1%

Bayer Leverkusen
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

25.1%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.3%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.3%	14.7%	56%

Club Brugge - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 116 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 34 - 29.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 65 - 56%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 47% – 65%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Brugge has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (10%), has a chance of 2nd (17%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a chance of round of 16 (28%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bayer has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a chance of round of 16 (48%), has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 72, big importance 72, big match rating 72. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Brugge in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bayer will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Brugge: Buchanan T. (Muscle Injury) Clinton Mata (Injury) Lang N. (Ankle Injury) Rits M. (Knee Injury) Vormer R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bayer: Adli A. (Shoulder Injury) Bellarabi K. (Knee Injury) Lunev A. (Muscle Injury) Wirtz F. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Brugge to win the game is with odds 3.37.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.09.22	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	4:0 ✺
26.08.22	Charleroi - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
21.08.22	Club Brugge - Kortrijk	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
05.08.22	Club Brugge - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWT
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
03.09.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3 ✺
20.08.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
13.08.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
06.08.22	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

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