Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Atlético Madrid		Porto

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.5
	1.88	3.4	4.4
	1.89	3.5	4.7
	1.9	3.4	4.3
	1.9	3.52	4.68
	1.88	3.3	4.5
	1.89	3.55	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	4.5 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 1

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
50.9%

Draw
27.9%

Porto
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.9%	19.7%	14.4%

Atlético Madrid - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 132 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 87 - 65.9%). Porto will win (votes: 19 - 14.4%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 19.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 57.8% – 74%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Atlético has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (38%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a good chance of round of 16 (66%), has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Porto has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (30%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a good chance of round of 16 (59%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has big quality 80, big importance 76, big match rating 78. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently Atlético have a series of guest games.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Felipe (Red Card) Reguilon S. (Injury) Savic S. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Porto: Manafa W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Matheus Cunha (Muscle Injury) Oblak J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
03.09.22	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
29.08.22	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
15.08.22	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.22	Juventus - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWW
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
03.09.22	Gil Vicente - Porto	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Rio Ave - Porto	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Vizela - Porto	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Porto - Marítimo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.12.21	Porto - Atlético Madrid	1:3
15.09.21	Atlético Madrid - Porto	0:0
11.12.13	Atlético Madrid - Porto	2:0
01.10.13	Porto - Atlético Madrid	1:2

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