Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)


	Porto B		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.4	3.45	2.55
	2.66	3.61	2.62
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3.5	2.52
	2.5	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.66)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
36.5%

Draw
27.1%

Moreirense
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Porto B - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Moreirense will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Porto B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moreirense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
16.04.23	Feirense - Porto B	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Porto B - Trofense	4:2 ✺
03.04.23	Penafiel - Porto B	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Porto B - Leixões	4:0 ✺
11.03.23	Torreense - Porto B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
16.04.23	Moreirense - Benfica B	7:4 ✺
07.04.23	Farense - Moreirense	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Moreirense - Feirense	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Nacional - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
10.03.23	Moreirense - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.22	Moreirense - Porto B	3:2
28.01.14	Moreirense - Porto B	1:2
13.09.13	Porto B - Moreirense	0:0

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