Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Silva H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.6
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	1.81	3.35	4
	1.94	3.4	3.7
	1.95	3.48	4.26
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.88	3.42	3.98
	1.93	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	3.84 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moreirense
48.6%

Draw
27.5%

Penafiel
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Moreirense - Penafiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Moreirense is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
04.03.23	Moreirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Oliveirense - Moreirense	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
10.02.23	Torreense - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Moreirense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWLW
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
04.03.23	Penafiel - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
24.02.23	Trofense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Penafiel - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
13.02.23	BSAD - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Penafiel - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
17.11.22	Penafiel - Moreirense	1:2
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.22	Penafiel - Moreirense	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
25.07.21	Penafiel - Moreirense	2:1 penalties
Club Friendly
14.07.18	Penafiel - Moreirense	2:1
15.07.17	Penafiel - Moreirense	0:1
23.07.16	Penafiel - Moreirense	0:1
18.07.15	Penafiel - Moreirense	2:0

Upcoming Matches