Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Costa Teixeira Afonso J. P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.45	4.25	5.8
	1.51	4.64	6.2
	1.47	3.9	5.8
	1.49	4.4	5.65
	1.48	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)	5.66 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
61.9%

Draw
21.9%

Benfica B
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.7%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Moreirense - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: Moreirense will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 14).

Moreirense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moreirense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
07.04.23	Farense - Moreirense	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Moreirense - Feirense	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Nacional - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
10.03.23	Moreirense - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Moreirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWW
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
08.04.23	Benfica B - BSAD	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Mafra - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Covilhã - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.22	Benfica B - Moreirense	2:1
07.02.14	Moreirense - Benfica B	1:1
30.09.13	Benfica B - Moreirense	1:2

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