Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)


	Leiria		Porto B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.88	3.4	3.9
	1.92	3.44	4.29
	1.89	3.41	4.15	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.34	4.05	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)	3.33 ↓ (3.42)	4.06 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
49.3%

Draw
27.8%

Porto B
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Leiria - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 68. Maga 44. Marcelo 39. Zikovic R. 3. Baro M. 88. Martins D. 25. Amado D. (C) 19. Fernandez P. 20. Gomes B. 10. van der Gaag J. 9. Munoz J.	91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 44. Felipe Silva 64. Gomes L. 80. Henrique Kaio 68. Oliveira A. (C) 88. Andrade D. 92. Teixeira J. 49. Sousa G. 79. Vonic L. 72. Miranda A.
Substitutes
11. Jair da Silva 8. Kouassi E. 17. Lucho Vega 86. Michel D. 99. Odehnal J. (G) 21. Pires M. 80. Quilma 15. Silva J. 52. Sylla H.	59. Andrade T. 67. Carvalho G. 57. Cunha D. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 66. Lima B. 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 54. Ribeiro A. 58. Silva T.
Coaches
Pereira F.	Brandao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Baro M. 🟨,
11', van der Gaag J. 🟨,
27', Andrade D. 🟨,
29', Amado D. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Fernandez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Miranda A. ⚽,
53', Oliveira A. 🟨,
58', Oliveira A. ↓, Lima B. ↑,
63', Gomes B. ↓, Quilma ↑,
63', Baro M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
63', Martins D. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
64', Gomes L. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Silva J. ⚽,
68', Teixeira J. ↓, Mide M. ↑,
73', Miranda A. 🟨,
80', Sousa G. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
80', Miranda A. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
80', Andrade D. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
80', Fernandez P. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
83', Michel D. 🟨,
89', Henrique Kaio 🟨,
90+1', Jair da Silva 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Lima B. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Leiria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Porto B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leiria is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	3	10
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
08.02.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
26.01.26	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Leiria - Vizela	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLL
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
06.02.26	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Farense - Porto B	2:3 ✺
25.01.26	Porto B - Vizela	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Feirense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Porto B - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Porto B - Leiria	1:2
09.02.25	Leiria - Porto B	0:0
01.09.24	Porto B - Leiria	1:1
03.02.24	Leiria - Porto B	1:1
27.08.23	Porto B - Leiria	2:1

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