The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porto B 45.8%
Draw 27.2%
Paços de Ferreira 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
25.9%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
25.9%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Porto B - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 40% – 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Porto B (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto B (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Costa J. (C) 76. Rodrigues D. 73. Bras G. 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 92. Teixeira J. 88. Andrade D. 56. Kaue Rodrigues 49. Sousa G. 79. Vonic L. 57. Cunha D.
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 5. Sousa A. 8. Costa D. 88. Francisco Ramos 36. Silva V. 13. Pinto J. 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J.
Substitutes
59. Andrade T. 64. Gomes L. 66. Lima B. 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 72. Miranda A. 54. Ribeiro A. 91. Ribeiro G. (G) 58. Silva T.
26. Cunha N. 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 15. Dias L. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 11. Fale M. 28. Marafona (G) 22. Mota 19. Nito
Coaches
Brandao J.
Braga N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Sousa G. ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cunha D. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
55', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
55', Victor J. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
55', Silva V. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
59', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Lima B. ↑,
67', Sousa G. ↓, Mide M. ↑,
75', Pinto J. ↓, Nito ↑,
82', Sousa A. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
84', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 1.
Porto B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Paços de Ferreira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Porto B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Porto B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
FC Porto B
6
1
1
4
4:13
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Porto B - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.