The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Farense 52.1%
Draw 27.3%
Porto B 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
25.8%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
27.4%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Farense - Porto B Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Tannander J. (G) 43. Dario Miranda 26. Ruben 3. D'Agrella L. 34. Herrero T. 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 90. Sangare B. 20. Semedo Y. 21. Jaiminho 9. Carter A. 7. Costa R.
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 44. Felipe Silva 73. Bras G. (C) 80. Henrique Kaio 56. Kaue Rodrigues 88. Andrade D. 92. Teixeira J. 49. Sousa G. 79. Vonic L. 72. Miranda A.
Substitutes
78. Alex Pinto 10. Almeida B. 4. Alysson 99. Araujo B. (G) 17. Candeias A. 6. Derick Poloni 25. Dorregaray D. 77. Matias M. 80. Ndiaye A.
59. Andrade T. 57. Cunha D. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 64. Gomes L. 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 68. Oliveira A. 55. Pereira Y. 58. Silva T.
Coaches
Neto P.
Brandao J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Sousa G. ⚽, Rodrigues D. (A),
35', Jaiminho 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Vonic L. ⚽, Sousa G. (A),
38', 1 - 2, Costa R. ⚽, Jaiminho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jaiminho ↓, Derick Poloni ↑,
54', Andrade D. 🟨,
62', Miranda A. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
64', Derick Poloni 🟨,
65', Costa R. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Herrero T. ⚽,
72', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
72', Teixeira J. ↓, Mide M. ↑,
76', Sangare B. ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
76', D'Agrella L. ↓, Alysson ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Mide M. ⚽,
84', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
84', Dario Miranda ↓, Matias M. ↑,
85', Sousa G. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
87', Gomes L. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
88', Dorregaray D. 🟨,
90+1', Carter A. 🟨,
90+2', Bras G. 🟨,
90+6', Ribeiro G. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 3.
Recent form of Farense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Porto B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Farense is seen as the favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Farense won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).