Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Porto Canal


	Porto B		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.15	3.35	3.1
	2.38	3.73	2.72
	2.14	3.24	3.40	Watch
	2.22	3.34	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.41)	3.37 ↓ (3.56)	3.1 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
42.5%

Draw
27.6%

Portimonense
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Porto B - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Portimonense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Costa J. (C) 46. Pedro Lima 44. Felipe Silva 73. Bras G. 80. Henrique Kaio 56. Kaue Rodrigues 25. Perez T. 88. Andrade D. 75. Karamoh Y. 79. Vonic L. 47. Alarcon A.	26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 5. Heitor 6. Neves S. 33. Grolli D. 66. Canji A. 73. Junior M. 18. Mamede 40. Joao Vitor 8. Lobato S. 90. Canario F. 9. Monteiro T. (C)
Substitutes
87. Caicedo B. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 43. Melnichenko T. 68. Oliveira A. 54. Ribeiro A. 76. Rodrigues D. 58. Silva T. 49. Sousa G. 92. Teixeira J.	2. Abel A. 47. Cagro W. 77. Cibois S. (G) 21. Dauda M. 19. Dju M. 37. Mateus Sarara 93. Welinton Junior 15. Xavier 23. Ze Gabriel
Coaches
Brandao J.	Fernandes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Alarcon A. 🟨,
43', Grolli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Vonic L. ⚽, Pedro Lima (A),
56', Canario F. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
62', Perez T. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
62', Junior M. ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
70', Vonic L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
70', Karamoh Y. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
85', Lobato S. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
87', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Silva T. ↑,
87', Alarcon A. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
90', Pedro Lima 🟨,
90+2', Neves S. 🟨,
90+2', Canji A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 2.

Porto B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portimonense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Portimonense has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Porto B - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Portimonense - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.08%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.25	Chaves - Porto B	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Porto B - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Porto B - Torreense	2:3 ✺
29.09.25	Paços de Ferreira - Porto B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLT
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
30.10.25	Portimonense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Paços de Ferreira - Portimonense	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Portimonense - Leiria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.05.25	Portimonense - Porto B	0:3
12.01.25	Porto B - Portimonense	1:2
Club Friendly
14.07.18	Porto B - Portimonense	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
05.03.17	Porto B - Portimonense	1:0
28.09.16	Portimonense - Porto B	3:0
09.01.16	Portimonense - Porto B	2:1
09.08.15	Porto B - Portimonense	1:2

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