Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)


	Porto B		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.51	3.8	5
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.57	4.35	5.78
	1.57	4.36	5.78
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.55	4.2	5.52
	1.53	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	4.14 ↑ (4.12)	5.44 ↓ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
60.6%

Draw
22.4%

Vilaverdense
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

16%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilaverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Porto B - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vilaverdense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Fernandes D. (G) 52. Fernandes M. 97. Pedro J. (C) 73. Bras G. 55. Mendes J. 72. Pinheiro R. 62. Fernandes R. 87. Folha B. 67. Sousa V. 95. Cande A. 96. Gui Guedes	93. Santos R. (G) 26. Batista J. 3. Laercio 27. Freitas C. 12. Maviram E. 88. Neves L. 8. Joao Caiado 25. Seedorf S. 10. Soares A. (C) 23. Ericson 7. Teixeira G.
Substitutes
98. Abraham M. 46. Braima 66. Cassama A. 44. Correia R. 71. Meixedo F. (G) 77. Monteiro R. 86. Mora R. 49. Sousa G. 50. Wendell	11. Bruno Silva 52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M.
Coaches
Folha A.	Machado S.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Porto B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilaverdense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Porto B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Porto B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
03.03.24	Torreense - Porto B	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Porto B - Leixões	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Marítimo - Porto B	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Porto B - Mafra	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Leiria - Porto B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLTT
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
04.03.24	Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Benfica B - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Vilaverdense - AVS	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Nacional - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
02.02.24	Vilaverdense - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.23	Vilaverdense - Porto B	0:5

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