Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Costa Teixeira Afonso J. P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Vilaverdense		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.5
	6	3.75	1.47	Watch
	6.5	4	1.5	Watch
	6	3.9	1.49
	7.06	4.05	1.54
	5.8	3.8	1.44
	6.43	4.21	1.49	Watch
	6	3.85	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.22 ↑ (5.54)	3.95 ↑ (3.89)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
14.8%

Draw
23.4%

Santa Clara
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

24.3%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

23.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Vilaverdense - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Santos R. (G) 26. Batista J. 3. Laercio 27. Freitas C. 12. Maviram E. 5. Sako M. 23. Ericson 10. Soares A. (C) 88. Neves L. 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 6. Velazquez S. 4. Pacheco P. 16. Henrique P. (C) 42. Lucas Soares 8. Ferreira P. 77. Klismahn G. 32. MT 10. Ricardinho 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A. 25. Seedorf S.	18. Ageu E. 19. Almeida B. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 23. Lima S. 99. Rafael Martins 5. Rafael Santos 13. Rocha L. 21. Semedo Y.
Coaches
Machado S.	Matos V.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Vilaverdense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Clara is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.24	Oliveirense - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
19.01.24	Vilaverdense - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vilaverdense - Feirense	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Penafiel - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
21.12.23	Torreense - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLL
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.24	Santa Clara - Leixões	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Torreense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Santa Clara - Mafra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.08.23	Santa Clara - Vilaverdense	2:0

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