Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Vilaverdense		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2
	3.65	3.3	2.06
	3.94	3.49	2.02
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.69	3.48	1.97	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.98)	3.32 ↓ (3.58)	2 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
25.9%

Draw
27.9%

Paços de Ferreira
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.5%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

24.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: Paços de Ferreira will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Santos R. (G) 26. Batista J. 3. Laercio 27. Freitas C. 12. Maviram E. 88. Neves L. 8. Joao Caiado 70. Hanne B. 10. Soares A. (C) 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva	28. Marafona (C) 50. Jojo 23. Ferigra E. 4. Ganchas P. 14. Rocha S. 17. Paulo M. 8. Welton 9. Ze Uilton 10. Djalo M. 79. Rodrigues A. O. 19. Fonte R.
Substitutes
52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 4. Kawale R. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M. 25. Seedorf S.	5. Antunes V. 77. Cipenga B. 30. Costinha 29. Gorby 7. Miguel 21. Neves A. 97. Pablo 24. Pedro Z. (G) 18. Ribeiro T.
Coaches
Machado S.	Silva R.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).

Vilaverdense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paços de Ferreira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paços de Ferreira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.24	Benfica B - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Vilaverdense - AVS	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Nacional - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
02.02.24	Vilaverdense - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Oliveirense - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLTW
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.24	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:0 ✺
16.02.24	Leixões - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
05.02.24	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Paços de Ferreira - Mafra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.23	Paços de Ferreira - Vilaverdense	2:0

Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide