Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Nacional		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.38	4.33	6.5
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.41	4.45	6.8
	1.41	4.88	7.88
	1.33	4.4	7
	1.4	4.65	7.36
	1.38	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.55 ↑ (4.35)	6.96 ↑ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
66.3%

Draw
20.4%

Vilaverdense
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nacional - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: Nacional will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 8. Danilovic V. 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 10. Esteves L. 77. Gustavo 9. Ramirez J.	93. Santos R. (G) 26. Batista J. 3. Laercio 27. Freitas C. 12. Maviram E. 88. Neves L. 23. Ericson 10. Soares A. (C) 8. Joao Caiado 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva
Substitutes
71. Diga 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 18. Sousa A. 55. Sousa A.	52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M. 25. Seedorf S.
Coaches
Margarido T.	Machado S.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vilaverdense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.24	Nacional - Torreense	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Marítimo - Nacional	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Mafra - Nacional	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Nacional - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLT
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.24	Vilaverdense - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Oliveirense - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
19.01.24	Vilaverdense - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vilaverdense - Feirense	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Penafiel - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.23	Vilaverdense - Nacional	1:2

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