Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Portugalete		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	3	2.65	2.45
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	2.95	2.8	2.44
	3.15	2.8	2.68
	3	2.8	2.5
	2.9	3.04	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.75)	2.88 ↓ (3.14)	2.47 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
30.9%

Draw
31.9%

Real Sociedad B
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

21.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugalete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portugalete - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Second stage)).

Portugalete is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Sociedad B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Portugalete have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portugalete won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Portugalete won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.20	Portugalete - Laredo	0:1 ✺
15.11.20	Portugalete - Leioa	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	Alavés B - Portugalete	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Portugalete - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
25.10.20	Portugalete - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLT
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
14.11.20	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad B	1:4 ✺
01.11.20	Real Sociedad B - Laredo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.05.16	Real Sociedad B - Portugalete	3:2
13.12.15	Portugalete - Real Sociedad B	0:1

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